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Modeling And Forecasting Primary Commodity Prices

 
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MessagePosté le: Jeu 6 Juil - 01:09 (2017)    Sujet du message: Modeling And Forecasting Primary Commodity Prices Répondre en citant



Recent economic growth in China and other Asian countries has led to increased commodity demand which has caused price rises and accompanying price fluctuations not only for crude oil but also for the many other raw materials. Such trends mean that world commodity markets are once again under intense scrutiny. This book provides new insights into the modeling and forecasting of primary commodity prices by featuring comprehensive applications of the most recent methods of statistical time series analysis. The latter utilize econometric methods concerned with structural breaks, unobserved components, chaotic discovery, long memory, heteroskedasticity, wavelet estimation and fractional integration. Relevant tests employed include neural networks, correlation dimensions, Lyapunov exponents, fractional integration and rescaled range. The price forecasting involves structural time series trend plus cycle and cyclical trend models. Practical applications focus on the price behaviour of more than twenty international commodity markets.







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Modeling and Forecasting Primary Commodity Prices, W. Labys. Ashgate Publishing Co., Burlington VT (2006). US $99.95, 235pp., ISBN-13 978-0-7546-4629-7.Modeling and Forecasting Primary Commodity Prices published by Routledge Modeling and Forecasting Primary Commodity Prices. Author(s): Walter C.Recent Developments in Commodity Modeling . primary commodity markets and industries . and to maintain the Bank's system of commodity price forecasting .Forecasting Commodity Prices with Nonlinear Models on . Forecasting Commodity Prices with Nonlinear . The reliance on primary commodity exports posits a .A hybrid commodity price-forecasting model . of commodity price-forecasting models that . primary depreciation (loss of the commoditys .. the counterpart on commodity prices and . commodity prices are de-termined not only by primary supply . 07f867cfac



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